English: On 2007's Memorial Day Weekend on Arl...

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The potential challangers to Barack Obama currently stand  at 7: Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Ron Paul, Rick Perry, Rick Santorum, Michele Bachmann and Jon Huntsman. The Primary process will eventually pick one of them. And I pray that neither Ron Paul nor Donald Trump pulls a 3rd party stunt run that will guanantee Obama’s reelection. So here is what I think:

Don’t know who will win Iowa tonight, but I will say that Bachmann will drop out tomorrow. Santorum buys himself a few weeks with strong showing. Down to 6.

After Romney wins New Hampshire (he HAS to), Hunstman will drop out. Down to 5.

Newt will win South Carolina easily. This may cause Santorum to drop out.

Newt will will Florida but not so easily. This sets up the rest of the cycle as Perry will drop out and Santurum will also if he hasn’t already. Down to 3.

That leaves Newt vs. Romney the rest of the way, with Paul taking 10%-15% of the vote as he usually does. He won’t drop out before the convention because he has enough money and he is retiring from the Congress this year (thank God) so he literally has nothing else better to do.

Once the anti-Romney vote consolidates around Newt, he will pull away and the nomination will officially be his on April 24 after the DE, PA, NY, CT and RI Primaries. OR…the GOP establishment gets so panicked and goes so negative against Newt that it is a bitter fight all the way to the convention with the possibility of brokering…oh joy!

Let the madness begin!

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